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World Bank Projects 4.4% Growth for Sri Lanka in 2024

The World Bank foresees a 4.4% growth for Sri Lanka’s economy in 2024. This positive outlook follows four quarters of growth. The industrial and tourism sectors are driving this progress. Check out the economic forecast for more details.

Sri Lanka’s economy has shown signs of stabilization, surpassing earlier estimates. However, the recovery remains fragile. It depends on maintaining stability, restructuring debt, and pursuing reforms.

Sri Lanka has $10 billion in untapped export potential annually, mainly in Asia. This could create about 142,500 new jobs. The World Bank suggests reducing tariffs and improving efficiency to boost exports.

Despite growth projections, poverty levels may stay above 20% until 2026. Inflation is expected to remain below 5% in 2024. The current account should stay in surplus, thanks to tourism and remittances.

Key Takeaways

The World Bank projects Sri Lanka’s economy to grow by 4.4% in 2024, driven by the industrial and tourism sectors.
Sri Lanka’s untapped export potential is estimated at $10 billion annually, which could create around 142,500 new jobs.
The recovery remains fragile and depends on maintaining macroeconomic stability, restructuring debt, and pursuing further reforms.
Poverty levels are expected to remain above 20% until 2026, despite the positive growth outlook.
Inflation is anticipated to stay below the Central Bank’s target of 5% in 2024, and the current account is forecasted to remain in surplus.

Sri Lanka’s Economy Stabilizes with Positive Growth Outlook

Sri Lanka’s economy is on the mend. The World Bank predicts a 4.4% growth rate in 2024. This follows four quarters of growth, led by industrial and tourism sectors.

The recovery stems from successful fiscal policies and debt restructuring. These efforts have stabilized the economy and drawn foreign investment.

Four Consecutive Quarters of Growth Driven by Industrial and Tourism Sectors

Industrial and tourism sectors have fueled Sri Lanka’s economic comeback. Tourism has rebounded as international visitors return to the island nation. The government’s promotion of Sri Lanka as a safe destination has boosted tourism revenue.

World Bank Warns Recovery Remains Fragile and Dependent on Reforms

The World Bank cautions that Sri Lanka’s recovery is still fragile. It depends on continuing structural reforms. The country must maintain stability, restructure debt, and implement growth-boosting reforms.

Sri Lanka could increase export revenues by $10 billion yearly. This could create about 142,500 new jobs. Diversifying the economy and promoting sustainable growth are crucial.

The World Bank expects growth to slow to 3.5% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026. This highlights the need for ongoing economic strengthening efforts.

Sri Lanka’s growth lags behind the 6.4% projected for South Asian economies. However, Sri Lanka’s commitment to recovery is clear from recent progress.

Focusing on women’s labor participation and global trade opportunities can boost growth. This will help Sri Lanka contribute to the region’s economic success.

Key Reforms Necessary to Boost Exports and Attract Foreign Investment

Sri Lanka aims to capitalize on its projected 4.4% economic growth in 2024. The World Bank report highlights the need for reforms to unlock $10 billion in export potential. Diversifying exports could create 142,500 new jobs, boosting the economy and reducing poverty.

Poverty rates are expected to remain above 20% until 2026. Reforms are crucial to attract foreign investment and create new opportunities. Sri Lanka must remove bureaucratic obstacles and level the playing field for investors.

Sri Lanka’s Untapped Export Potential Estimated at $10 billion Annually

To leverage its export potential, Sri Lanka must implement crucial reforms. These changes aim to attract foreign investment and create new jobs. The World Bank suggests streamlining processes and fostering an investor-friendly environment.

Diversifying Exports Across Manufacturing, Services, and Agriculture Crucial

Sri Lanka must focus on diversifying its exports across various sectors. This strategy will create a more resilient economy and new job opportunities. The report emphasizes increasing female labor force participation to drive inclusive growth.

Seylan Bank’s strong financial performance shows potential growth in the financial sector. This can support export-oriented businesses and contribute to overall economic development.

Removing Bureaucratic Obstacles and Creating Level Playing Field for Investors

Sri Lanka must address challenges like poverty, food insecurity, and financial sector vulnerabilities. Implementing targeted reforms and investing in education, healthcare, and infrastructure is crucial. These actions will create a better environment for businesses and ensure shared economic growth.

Embracing these critical reforms is essential for Sri Lanka’s future. They will unlock the country’s full economic potential and create a brighter future for its citizens.

Inflation Peaks at 70% in 2022; Government Takes Action

Sri Lanka faced a severe economic crisis in 2022. Inflation hit 70% in September, the highest since independence. This was due to monetary financing, currency depreciation, and rising global commodity prices.

The cost-of-living crisis hit the nation hard. The government introduced austerity policies and fiscal tightening to stabilize the economy. They also implemented price controls and raised interest rates to curb inflation.

Despite these efforts, GDP was expected to shrink by 2.3% in FY2023. A recovery of 4.4% was projected for FY2024. The agricultural sector showed strength, with exports rising in early 2024.

The crisis deeply affected the population. In 2024, 23.4% lived below $3.65 per day. Another 64.3% lived on less than $6.85 per day. Unemployment stayed around 4.7% in 2022 and 2023.

The government worked to boost exports and attract foreign investment. They also managed external debt, which was 43% of GDP in 2024.

Key Takeaways

Inflation in Sri Lanka peaked at 70% in September 2022, the highest since independence.
The government implemented austerity measures, fiscal tightening, and price controls to address the economic crisis.
GDP growth was forecasted to contract by 2.3% in FY2023, with a projected recovery of 4.4% in FY2024.
The agricultural sector showed resilience, with exports surging in the first half of 2024.
Poverty rates remained high, with 64.3% of the population living on less than $6.85 per day in 2024.

Sri Lanka’s Economic Crisis and Record-High Inflation

In 2022, Sri Lanka faced a severe economic crisis. Inflation peaked at an alarming 70%. The nation’s vulnerabilities worsened due to policy mistakes and global shocks.

Foreign exchange reserves depleted rapidly. This led to widespread social unrest and political instability. Citizens struggled with shortages of essential goods and services.

Preexisting Vulnerabilities and Policy Missteps

Sri Lanka’s economy was already fragile. Droughts, political crises, and terrorist attacks had taken their toll. Unsustainable policies, like significant tax cuts, made things worse.

The country entered the pandemic unprepared. It had thin reserves, high debt, and limited fiscal space. These factors left Sri Lanka vulnerable to economic shocks.

Impact of Global Shocks and Depleted Reserves

The war in Ukraine in early 2022 devastated Sri Lanka’s economy. With empty reserves, the nation faced a debt default. Importing essential goods became difficult, causing fuel shortages and power cuts.

Despite challenges, Sri Lankans united during Vesak celebrations. They found hope and unity amid the crisis.

Social Unrest and Political Instability

Economic hardships led to social unrest and political instability. Protests erupted, demanding solutions to shortages and government accountability. These events resulted in leadership changes.

Some sectors showed resilience amid the crisis. Apparel, textiles, and coconut-based products grew in September 2024. OMP Sri Lanka reported this positive trend.

Inflation Peaks at 70% in 2022; Government Implements Austerity Measures

Sri Lanka faced a severe economic crisis in 2022. Inflation skyrocketed to 70%, driven by monetary financing and rupee depreciation. Global commodity prices surged, followed by administrative price hikes.

Essential goods became scarce, and many lost their jobs. The tourism industry was hit particularly hard. Schools closed, and a food crisis loomed due to fertilizer shortages.

Causes of Hyperinflation: Monetary Financing and Currency Depreciation

Sri Lanka’s high public debt exceeded 70% of GDP. Low fiscal revenue made the country vulnerable to external shocks. Decreased government spending and poor financial management led to lower productivity.

Government’s Response: Fiscal Tightening and Price Controls

The government introduced austerity measures to tackle the crisis. These included tax increases and spending cuts. The central bank tightened monetary policy to curb inflation.

Temporary import suspensions were used to stabilize the economy. However, these actions increased the tax burden on individuals and businesses. State-owned enterprises suffered substantial losses, requiring government intervention.

The government’s response aimed to restore financial stability. It faced challenges from strikes and protests over salary demands. The goal was to start a disinflation process and economic recovery.

Sri Lanka’s Stock Market Emerges as Leading Performer in Asia

In a time when Asian equity markets buzz with action, Sri Lanka stands out. It has shown strong performance among emerging markets. The Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) is celebrated worldwide for its impressive 29.65% return in USD on the ASPI this year.

This increase is a sign of the country’s strong economic recovery. It is making a big mark in South Asian business and trade.

Sri Lanka's Stock Market Emerges as Leading Performer in Asia

According to Bloomberg.com, as of October 25, 2024, the CSE is a top player in global finance. It ranks second among its peers. The growth in market size and the entry of foreign investment are key reasons behind this success.

Investors are showing more trust. This is thanks to a mix of top-notch stocks and diverse investment options available in the country.

The recent success isn’t just about numbers. It’s also about growing confidence in the nation’s stable economy and creative economic moves. The CSE’s strong performance also reflects clear and solid governance in Sri Lanka. This is moving the country into the league of high-performing economies.

Unveiling the Success Story of the Colombo Stock Exchange

The Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) is a major player in Asia’s financial scene. It has shown strong growth and resilience. The CSE reflects Sri Lanka’s economic recovery and helps it grow by increasing market size and attracting foreign investments.

An Impressive Year-to-Date Return

As of October 2024, the ASPI has climbed 29.65%. This is one of the best results in the region. The increase comes from strong investor belief and interest in major companies. It shows a healthy and expanding market.

Record-Breaking Trading Days and Turnover

The CSE’s trading activity has reached new highs. Daily turnover hit historic levels. For example, in the last week of October 2024, it was Rs. 3.058 billion. And in the final two days, it exceeded Rs. 4.7 billion.

These numbers show Sri Lanka’s market is lively and robust. It’s attractive for both local and international traders.

Sri Lanka’s Resilient Capital Market

The Sri Lankan market is dealing well with global economic challenges. It shows strength and the chance for more growth. Foreign investors engage actively, and the market size is steadily growing.

This helps Sri Lanka’s wider economic recovery. The stability and chances here are great for investors and companies.

The Colombo Stock Exchange plays a key role in Sri Lanka’s financial health and growth. It helps with short-term recovery and long-term wealth. It stands as a pillar of financial stability in Sri Lanka.

Analyzing Market Drivers Behind the Stellar Performance

Sri Lanka’s stock market is doing great because of several important reasons. The country’s economic recovery is a big one. This recovery gets a huge boost from a lot of foreign investment inflows. These investments help grow the market size and make investors feel more confident.

Blue-chip stocks are gaining more attention too. They help keep the market stable and push it forward. People are also liking diversified portfolios more. They want to lower their risks and make the most of the growing economy. The strengthening of the Sri Lankan Rupee against the US dollar shows that people believe in the market. You can see more about this in a detailed analysis by OMP Sri Lanka.

Economic recovery: Speeded up by government reforms and rejoining the global market.
Foreign investment inflows: Big rise in investments from abroad, especially in tech and infrastructure.
Market capitalization growth: Reached new highs, thanks to strong performance in key areas.
Investor confidence: Grew with clear policies and better regulation.
Blue-chip stocks: Still popular with investors in emerging markets.
Diversified portfolios: Investors are diversifying their assets more.

These factors together are not just helping Sri Lanka grow sustainably. They also put Sri Lanka on the map as a strong player in the world economy. Looking at these factors, both investors and policymakers are hopeful about Sri Lanka’s economic future.

Sri Lanka’s Stock Market Emerges as Leading Performer in Asia

The Colombo Stock Exchange has risen against global economic challenges. It now stands as Asia’s second-best performing equity index as of October 25, 2024. This highlights not just current success but also the long-term growth of Sri Lanka’s market.

Investor confidence has grown thanks to more foreign investments and a bigger market size. A strong mix of blue-chip stocks has helped the region’s economy recover. Sri Lanka’s market has shown great strength, even when global economies face hard times.

Offering visa-free entry has helped bring more tourists and revive the economy. Efforts to boost exports led to a 15% increase in early 2023. These actions have created a strong foundation for growth. The work of OMP Sri Lanka is crucial for sharing the success stories of Sri Lanka’s markets.

Sri Lanka’s Stock Market Emerges as Leading Performer in Asia

What recent achievement has the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) accomplished?

The CSE is now Asia’s second-best equity index performer as of October 25, 2024. Its All Share Price Index (ASPI) reported a rise of 29.65% in USD.

How significant is the daily average turnover for the CSE?

Trading activity has surged, with daily turnover jumping to Rs. 3.058 billion. By the week ending October 25, 2024, it hit over Rs. 4.7 billion in the last two days.

Has the market capitalization of the CSE grown recently?

Yes. The market cap has increased significantly. The ASPI ended at 12,517.58 points while the S&P SL20 index rose to 3,759.30 points. This shows substantial growth and resilience in the market.

What factors have contributed to Sri Lanka’s stock market performance?

Economic recovery and stronger investor confidence have boosted the market. There’s also been an upsurge in foreign investments. Blue-chip stocks and diversified portfolios have strengthened the market too.

What does the CSE’s recent performance imply for the future?

The CSE’s impressive performance points to a bright future. It indicates ongoing economic recovery and new growth opportunities. This attracts both local and foreign investors.

An Impressive Year-to-Date Return

The ASPI of CSE has shown a great return of 29.65% in USD this year. This demonstrates strong potential for investors in diversified portfolios.

Record-Breaking Trading Days and Turnover

There’s been a massive trading increase, breaking previous records. This indicates a lively market and a keen interest in blue-chip stocks.

Sri Lanka’s Resilient Capital Market

The CSE’s success showcases Sri Lanka’s market resilience. It suggests a steady economic recovery and stable growth opportunities, attracting investors.

How have economic recovery and foreign investment influenced the CSE?

Sri Lanka’s economic bounce-back and steady foreign investment inflows have driven CSE’s success. This uplifts market capitalization and investor confidence.

Why are blue-chip stocks and diversified portfolios important for the CSE’s performance?

Blue-chip stocks bring stability and draw substantial investments. Diversified portfolios reduce risks and support market capitalization. These elements are crucial for CSE’s success.

Sri Lanka’s September 2024 Merchandise Exports Decline by 3.5%

Sri Lanka’s merchandise exports in September 2024 reached $937.95 million. This marks a 3.49% drop from the same month last year. The decline stems from the ongoing economic recession and global market contraction.

These factors have hurt the country’s export trade. The export slump has widened the trade deficit. This highlights the need for policy reforms to boost export competitiveness and diversify products.

Sri Lanka's September 2024 Merchandise Exports Decline by 3.5%

Services exports showed a positive trend in September 2024. They increased by 6.08% to $329.89 million compared to 2023. However, the total value of merchandise and services exports fell by 1.17% from last year.

The export sector is vital for Sri Lanka’s economy. It generates foreign exchange and creates jobs. In 2023, Sri Lanka’s GDP was $84.36 billion in nominal terms.

The GDP in purchasing power parity terms was $318.55 billion. Forecasts predict a growth rate of 4.4% for the fiscal year 2024.

Export Performance in September 2024

Sri Lanka’s exports faced hurdles in September 2024. Merchandise exports fell by 3.49% to $937.95 million. The apparel and textile sectors slowed, while logistics and currency issues added to the decline.

Services exports grew by 6.08% to $329.89 million compared to September 2023. This growth helped balance some merchandise sector losses. It shows the value of diversifying exports.

Total Exports Decline by 1.17%

Total exports reached $1,267.84 million in September 2024. This marks a 1.17% drop from 2023. The fall in merchandise exports caused this overall decline.

Lower earnings from tea, rubber products, electronics, and seafood contributed to the decrease. The government introduced the Export Development Reward Scheme to tackle these issues.

This scheme rewards exporters for increasing their export volumes. Large exporters get a 2% reward, while SMEs receive 3.5%. The aim is to boost export earnings by $600 million.

These initiatives offer hope for a stronger export sector. They encourage value addition and product diversity. This approach could help Sri Lanka navigate current challenges and build a more resilient future.

Major Exports with Positive Growth

Several key sectors in Sri Lanka showed growth despite overall export decline in September 2024. Apparel and textile exports rose 15.71% to $418.68 million. This was mainly due to a 36.87% increase in exports to the US market.

Coconut-based products grew 10.36% compared to last year. Coconut kernel products increased by 9.29%, while fiber products rose 9.39%. Remarkably, coconut shell products surged by 814.8%.

Spices and Concentrates Exports Soar

Spices and concentrates exports grew 26.39% to $48.04 million. Pepper exports increased by 43.91%, while cinnamon rose 16.34%. Food and beverages exports also grew 8.78% to $33.21 million.

Processed food showed significant growth of 69.41%. This sector’s performance contributed to the overall positive trend in exports.

ICT Exports and Logistics Services Poised for Growth

The ICT sector is expected to grow despite economic challenges. ICT exports may increase 28.66% to $150.28 million in September 2024.

Logistics and transport services could grow 24.94% to $158.4 million. These sectors show resilience and potential in current economic conditions.

Major Exports with Negative Growth

Key sectors of Sri Lanka’s export economy saw negative growth in September 2024. Tea exports fell 2.44% to $117.03 million. Bulk tea exports dropped by 10.26%.

Rubber and rubber finished products exports decreased 4.1% to $79.5 million. Pneumatic and retreated rubber tires and tubes declined 12.19%. The electrical and electronics components sector plummeted 27.73% to $28.1 million.

Seafood exports plunged 42.18% to $14.83 million. Frozen fish, fresh fish, and shrimps all performed poorly. Ornamental fish exports fell 14.23% to $2.17 million. Other export crops declined 73.57%.

These declines contributed to a 3.5% decrease in Sri Lanka’s merchandise exports. The country has an untapped export potential of $10 billion annually. This could create about 142,500 new jobs.

Global economic challenges have impacted Sri Lanka’s export performance. Despite this, the country still has significant growth opportunities in various sectors.

Cumulative Export Performance from January to September 2024

Sri Lanka’s merchandise exports grew 5.07% from January to September 2024. The total value reached $9,437.11 million, surpassing the same period in 2023. Apparel, tea, rubber, coconut, and spice sectors drove this growth.

Services exports also increased by 8.03%, totaling $2,577.22 million. The combined merchandise and services exports rose to $12,014.33 million. This marked a 73.24% increase compared to the previous year.

However, some sectors faced declines. Electrical components, seafood, and ornamental fish exports showed negative growth during this period.

Sri Lanka’s export performance showed resilience in key sectors despite global challenges. The apparel and textile industry played a crucial role in driving merchandise exports growth.

Moving forward, maintaining momentum in thriving sectors is crucial. Addressing challenges in declining industries will help sustain overall export growth. This strategy will strengthen Sri Lanka’s trade balance in the coming months.

Sri Lankan Tech Startups Get $50M Global Investment Boost

Amid tough economic times, Sri Lanka’s tech sector is turning a new leaf. A massive $50 million boost in investments is being poured into local startups. This signals a big leap forward in the country’s tech scene.

Sri Lankan entrepreneurs are getting the boost they need thanks to SLPAJ STARTUP KAKEHASHI 2023. At this significant event, local startups have the chance to attract global investors. This year, the tech scene in Sri Lanka is set to lead in innovation and economic growth.

Tech Startups in Sri Lanka Receive $50 Million Boost from Global Investors

The tech startup arena in Sri Lanka is set to soar with this new investment. It marks an exciting chapter for creating a solid and dynamic tech ecosystem. These are key moments for Sri Lanka as it integrates resilience and creativity into its growth plans.

Global investors are playing a vital role in the tech industry’s future in Sri Lanka. They’re essential in shaping the digital sector and pushing local and international markets forward.

Tech Startups in Sri Lanka Receive $50 Million Boost from Global Investors

Sri Lanka’s tech startups just got a $50 million boost. This investment aims to enhance the abilities of local tech firms. It focuses on giving Sri Lanka startup funding and putting the country on the global tech map. This round of investment is especially interested in businesses led by or helping women, meeting global fairness goals.

A key figure in this move is the partnership between the International Finance Corporation (IFC) and Commercial Bank of Ceylon (ComBank). IFC has given ComBank a loan of $50 million. This is to help small and medium-sized businesses, which are crucial to Sri Lanka’s economy, making up 80% of all businesses. This partnership plans to boost venture capital in Sri Lanka a lot, setting aside a third of the funds for women-run businesses. This supports gender equality in business.

The investment in the Sri Lanka startup ecosystem promises great long-term gains. It could lead to more innovation and a stronger presence in global markets. This boost could transform not just companies but the whole economy. It’s expected to speed up digital progress and business creativity, making Sri Lanka a key place for tech innovation.

With the world focusing on digital change, improving Sri Lanka’s startup scene is very timely. Such moves are key to building an economy that can face future challenges, like those from worldwide health crises. You can also see progress in areas like agritech and eco-friendly strategies, showing a broad effort to ensure lasting growth.

The investment will help many SMEs stay afloat and strengthen the banking sector. It aids the market’s recovery while setting the stage for future growth. This double-goal strategy shows careful planning to keep the venture capital landscape in Sri Lanka growing.

The Impact of Global Investor Confidence on Sri Lanka’s Tech Pioneers

Global investments, like the recent $50 million for tech startups in Sri Lanka, show the world’s belief in the country’s economy and technology. This support is key for Sri Lanka’s economic growth and the tech startup scene. It builds a strong foundation for startups in Sri Lanka.

How International Funding Fuels Innovation and Entrepreneurship

The influx of global funds boosts tech advancements and sparks innovation and entrepreneurship in Sri Lanka. Backed by international investors, startups get crucial funds to grow, enter new markets, and make new products. This drives the ongoing growth of tech startups in Sri Lanka.

Startups Shaping the Future: Success Stories from the Sri Lankan Tech Scene

Many startups have become leaders locally and globally, using these funds. Their stories show how funds help create a competitive and inventive tech area. This significantly benefits the Sri Lanka startup ecosystem.

Exploring the Economic Ripple Effects of the Investment on Local Industries

The $50 million investment does more than help the tech sector. It creates jobs, boosts competition, and helps other industries and services. These factors lift the economy, highlighting tech startups’ role in Sri Lanka’s economy.

Sectors beyond tech, like hospitality and manufacturing, will offer over 400,000 jobs soon. This shows the widespread economic boost from tech investments. Plus, focusing on high-tech education, like at Gampaha Technical College with South Korean support, readies Sri Lankans for tech jobs, aiding in economic development.

Industry	Percentage of Job Vacancies	Projected New Jobs
Apparel	58%	400,000 (across various sectors)
Food	20%	–
Manufacturing (Other)	33%	–

Unpacking Sri Lanka’s Tech Startup Ecosystem: A Deep Dive into Growth and Opportunities

The Sri Lanka startup ecosystem is bursting with opportunities for those in tech. Thanks to a supportive government, getting a business started is easier. The Startup Visa Programme helps both local and foreign entrepreneurs.

This program is part of the plan to boost venture capital in Sri Lanka. It aims to make the country a top place for investors. Those investors are eager to explore new markets filled with promise.

Sri Lanka has a strong tech infrastructure, which is crucial for Sri Lanka tech startups. This setup, combined with a skilled and resilient workforce, attracts venture capitalists. The high quality of life makes the nation even more appealing for business and innovation.

Despite economic hurdles, including a big drop in GDP in 2022, the tech sector remains a bright spot. The rising tourism industry also boosts the tech scene. This sector provides additional chances for tech companies to grow.

As the tech ecosystem grows, success stories are likely to increase. These wins will be powered by creative founders and smart investments. Sri Lanka’s economic story is being rewritten, thanks to these tech advancements.